There are many, many options for measuring marketing performance. At the most basic level, marketers divide revenue by marketing spend to determine ROI. The resulting metric, ROAS (Return on Ad Spend), is easy to calculate, easy to explain, easy to trend over time, and easy to compare across channels. This metric sets expectations for team performance, centers business discussions with the finance team, and supports investment decisions.
While ROAS explains the extent to which marketing spend is associated with revenue, it cannot explain the efficiency of that spend. To fill this knowledge gap and support more complex conversations, marketing teams must turn to ‘marginal ROAS’ (mROAS) — a metric that helps quantify revenue impact from incremental marketing investment.
mROAS provides insight into peak spend levels and enables smarter investment decisions by surfacing when additional spend becomes inefficient. This empowers marketers to scale their advertising investments and bend the curve of diminishing returns.
Specific mROAS use cases include:
While mROAS provides directional insights, it cannot fully inform incrementality or iROAS measurement. Marketers need to either use in-market tests or models to understand the impact of the channel’s spend on revenue and report accurately on lift.
Marketing teams buy impressions (ads) to build awareness and connect with potential customers in pursuit of a conversion. At first, the marketing spend dollars are highly effective: each dollar generates a strong return in revenue (a high ROAS). This is the growth phase, where marketing investments tend to work efficiently.
When ROAS is strong, marketers are incentivized to continue investing. However, as marketing spend increases, it’s inevitable that saturation kicks in and revenue growth slows down. In weekly reports, marketing teams will begin to notice a flattening or declining ROAS.
So, what’s happening behind the scenes? Each additional investment dollar generates less additional revenue, and revenue grows disproportionately slower despite the continued marketing investment. Eventually, the curve flattens and the law of diminishing returns sets in. Further increases in spend yield very little return, and marketing dollars are wasted in pursuit of harder-to-earn revenue.
A measurable metric like mROAS that quantifies elasticity and diminishing returns empowers marketers to defend their decisions around scaling up or scaling down ad investment in pursuit of maximum revenue efficiency.
mROAS calculations require various data points neatly organized in a spreadsheet, though adding a regression modeling tool (like R or Python) gives this metric additional heft. Many mix media modeling (MMM) tools already calculate mROAS during scoring, so consult the below examples to better understand the mechanics of mROAS within the context of your own marketing measurement ecosystem.
Step 1: Collect revenue and spend data
Step 2: Calculate mROAS
There are two methods you can pursue to calculate mROAS:
1. Spreadsheet Method: Export weekly results, sort by spend, and calculate for the fields listed out in the example figure below. Find the point in the curve where mROAS = 1, as this represents the point of diminishing returns.
In the hypothetical example below, marketing spend of $500K represents the point of diminishing returns where mROAS = 1. Furthermore, at $500K in marketing spend, the calculated spend elasticity is 0.29, which means that a +1% increase in ad spend results in only +0.29% increase in revenue.
2. Regression Model Method: To account for “real world data,” fit a curve on your dataset. The “Michaelis-Menten” model plots a smooth, continuous function to describe how revenue grows with increases in spend. Other benefits of using this model include predictive insights and the ability to estimate revenue at any spend amount. Using a program like R or Python to converge the curve, export the “Km” term as the point of diminishing returns.
In the hypothetical example below, a non-linear least squares model using nlsLM (“Michaelis-Menten” model) was fit to weekly marketing spend and revenue data. The model plots the point of diminishing returns at $191K, which far exceeds the actual weekly spend average.
Step 3: Evaluate results, prepare insights, and make recommendations
In a performance-driven landscape where every marketing dollar must prove its value, mROAS equips marketers with the insights needed to scale spend responsibly and drive efficient growth. But data alone isn't enough. That’s where adMarketplace comes in.
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